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Sunday, 08/01/2010
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Visualizing Domestic Airline Traffic with SAS Software
Rick Wicklin, SAS Institute
2:05 PM
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Using the RJMCMC Procedure for Identifying and Estimating Univariate TAR Models
Fabio Humberto Nieto, Universidad Nacional de Colombia; Hanwen Zhang, Santo Tomás University; Wen Li, Iowa State University
2:35 PM
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Asymptotic Theory for Fractionally Integrated Asymmetric Power ARCH Models
Kazuhiko Shinki, Wayne State University; Henry Zhengjun Zhang, University of Wisconsin-Madison
2:35 PM
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Investigating Dependence in Multivariate Time Series
Hernando Ombao, Brown University; Mark Fiecas, Brown University; Cristina Gorrostieta, Brown University
4:05 PM
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Modelling the UK Labour Force Survey using a Structural Time Series Model
Ping Zong, Office for National Statistics UK; Julian Chow, Office for National Statistics UK; Denise Silva, Office for National Statistics UK; Paul Smith, Office for National Statistics UK; Gary Brown, Office for National Statistics UK
4:05 PM
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Visualizing Call Flow Through Time
Fei Chen, Avaya Labs; Wen-hua Ju, Avaya Labs
4:20 PM
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Costationarity of Locally Stationary Time Series
Guy Nason, University of Bristol; Alessandro Cardinali, University of Bristol
4:25 PM
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Thick-Pen Transformation for Time Series
Piotr Fryzlewicz, London School of Economics; Hee-Seok Oh, Seoul National University
5:05 PM
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Nonparametric Autoregression and Volatility Estimation
Jin-Hong Park, College of Charleston
5:35 PM
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Monday, 08/02/2010
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Fractal Analysis of Time Series and Distribution Properties of Hurst Exponent
Ferry Butar Butar, Sam Houston State University; Malhar Kale, Kaiser Permanente
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Meta-Analyses of Multiple Baseline Time Series Design Intervention Models for Dependent and Independent Series
Oluwagbohunmi Adetunji Awosoga, University of Lethbridge; Joseph W. McKean, Western Michigan University; Bradley E. Huitema, Western Michigan University
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Bivariate Time Series Analysis of Longitudinal Models
Paul Kolm, Christiana Care Health System; Claudine Jurkovitz, Christiana Care Health System
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Time Series Analyses of Price Indices
MoonJung Cho, Bureau of Labor Statistics; John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Patrick A. Bobbitt, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Eungchun Cho, Kentucky State University
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Harmonic Regression Analysis of Periodic Time Series Data from Clinical Trials
Michael T. Gaffney , Pfizer Inc.; Martin O. Carlsson, Pfizer Inc.; Kelly H. Zou, Pfizer Inc.
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Does an MLB Team's Disabled List Influence Their Performance in the Post Season?
I. Elaine Allen, Babson College; Julia E. Seaman, Genentech
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A General Numerical Method for Probability Mass Functions in Count Data Time Series
Rong Zhu, McMaster University; Harry Joe, The University of British Columbia
8:35 AM
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Clustering of Time Series
Raja Velu, Syracuse University
8:35 AM
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Change-Point Detection in Time Series of Attributed Graphs
Lucy F. Robinson, The Johns Hopkins University; Carey E. Priebe, The Johns Hopkins University; Nam Lee, The Johns Hopkins University
8:35 AM
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Statistical Literacy for Managers: Analyzing Time Series Data
Anders Wallgren, Örebro University/Statistics Sweden
8:55 AM
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An Evaluation of Kan and Wang's Adjusted Box-Pierce Test Using Seasonal Time Series
Brian Carl Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau
8:55 AM
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On the Seasonal Adjustment of Long Memory Time Series
Scott Holan, University of Missouri; Tucker Sprague McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau
9:15 AM
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Investigating Spectral Analysis in the X-12-ARIMA Seasonal Adjustment Program: Theory and Practice
Wilma S. Jackson, SAS Institute
9:35 AM
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The Flow Estimates of Australia Labour Force Hours Worked and Seasonal Adjustment
Xichuan Mark Zhang, Australian Bureau of Statistics; Noel Hansen, Australian Bureau of Statistics
9:55 AM
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Using Disease Surveillance Data to Forecast Disease Risk
Al Ozonoff, Boston University School of Public Health; Yorghos Tripodis, Boston University; John Brownstein, Children's Hospital Boston
10:35 AM
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Second-Order Inference for Nonstationary Time Series
Han Xiao, The University of Chicago; Weibiao Wu, The University of Chicago
10:35 AM
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Statistical Inference for the Probabilistic Spectral Density
Junbum Lee, Texas A&M University
10:50 AM
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Application of Change Point Analysis to Time Series Data: The BioSense Experience
Taha Kass-Hout, CDC; Soyoun Park, SRA International; Roy Xu, SRA International Inc.; Paul McMurray, CDC; Howard Burkom, The Johns Hopkins University
11:35 AM
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Functionals of Order Statistics and Their Multivariate Concomitants for Stationary Time Series
Ba Manh Chu, Carleton University; Kim P. Huynh, Indiana University; David T. Jacho-Chavez, Indiana University
2:20 PM
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Estimation in ARCH Models with Missing Data: Applications to Latin-American Capital Markets
Natalia Bahamonde, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaiso
2:50 PM
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Complete and Incomplete Bayesian Models for Financial Time Series
John Geweke, University of Technology, Sydney
2:55 PM
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Tuesday, 08/03/2010
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Segmenting Nonstationary Time Series via Quantile Autoregressions
Ming Zhong, University of California, Davis
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WITHDRAWN: Comparison of Some Dimension-Reduction Techniques in Multivariate Nonstationary Time Series: A Case Study
Yennyfer Johana Feo , Universidad Nacional de Colombia
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Generalized Exponential Weighted Moving Average for Time Series Forecasting
Lu Wang, University of California, Davis
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Neural Networks for Time Series Prediction: Practical Implications of Theoretical Results
Melinda F. Thielbar, North Carolina State University; David A. Dickey, North Carolina State University
8:35 AM
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Forecasting Emergency Medical Service Call Arrival Rates
David S. Matteson, Cornell University; Mathew W. McLean , Cornell University; Dawn B. Woodard, Cornell University; Shane Henderson, Cornell University
8:35 AM
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Nonparametric Tests for Conditional Independence Using Conditional Distributions
Taoufik Bouezmarni, McGill University; Roch Roy, Université de Montréal; Abderrahim Taamouti, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
8:50 AM
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An Empirical Comparison of Constrained Optimization Methods for Benchmarking Economic Time Series
Irene Brown, U.S. Census Bureau
9:35 AM
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Applying Singular Spectrum Analysis to Climate Data Using SAS/ETS Software
Bruce Elsheimer, SAS Institute; Michael Leonard, SAS Institute; Marc Kessler, SAS Institute
10:35 AM
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Diagnostics for Bayesian Hierarchical Models of Response Time Data
Peter F. Craigmile, The Ohio State University; Mario Peruggia, The Ohio State University; Trisha Van Zandt, The Ohio State University
10:55 AM
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An Empirical Comparison of Methods for Temporal Distribution and Interpolation
Baoline Chen, Bureau of Economic Analysis
11:15 AM
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Equivalent Sample Sizes in Time Series Regressions
Jaechoul Lee, Boise State University; Robert Lund, Clemson University
11:35 AM
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Experience with Trend Revision Limits for Published Series
Peter Brian Kenny, PBK Research; Gary Brown, Office for National Statistics UK; Begoña Martin, Office for National Statistics UK
11:55 AM
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Functional Coefficient Autoregressive Models for Nonlinear Time Series
Alireza Tahai, Mississippi State University; Mehrzad Netadj, Mississippi State University
2:05 PM
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An Investigation of Locality Region for Scan Statistics in a Time Series of Graphs
Kristin Ash, Naval Surface Warfare Center; David J. Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center; Carey E. Priebe, The Johns Hopkins University
2:20 PM
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Discovering Graphical Granger Causality Using the Truncating Lasso Penalty
Ali Shojaie, University of Michigan; George Michailidis, University of Michigan
2:45 PM
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Phase and Coherency in a Neighborhood of Zero Frequency for Bivariate Long Memory Series
Rebecca J. Sela, New York University; Clifford M. Hurvich, New York University
3:05 PM
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Wednesday, 08/04/2010
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Improved Portmanteau Diagnostic Test for Multivariate Time Series Using Monte-Carlo Techniques
Esam Mahdi, The University of Western Ontario; A. Ian McLeod, The University of Western Ontario
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Problems in Shape-Constrained Function Estimation Involving Correlated Errors
Mary Meyer, Colorado State University
8:55 AM
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Regularization for Stationary Multivariate Time Series
Yan Sun, University of Cincinnati; Xiaodong Lin, Rutgers University
9:05 AM
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Forecasting Fuzzy Time Series with Different Degrees of Membership by Neural Networks
Memmedaga Memmedli, Anadolu University; Ozer Ozdemir, Anadolu University
10:35 AM
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Taking Serial Correlation Seriously: An Illustration from an Assessment of Temporal Trend of Racial Disparity in Chlamydia Prevalence Among Black and White Women
Lin H. Tian, CDC; Catherine L. Satterwhite, CDC; Jim R. Braxton, CDC; Samuel L. Groseclose, CDC
10:50 AM
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Building Time Series Into Hierarchical Bayesian Models with Applications in Baseball Fielding
James Martin Piette, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania; Shane Jensen, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
10:50 AM
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Adjustment of Regional Differences Using Generalized Additive Mixed Model to Estimate Health Effect of PM2.5
Ayano Takeuchi, The University of Tokyo; Yutaka Matsuyama, The University of Tokyo; Hiroshi Nitta, National Institute for Environmental Studies; Masaji Ono, National Institute for Environmental Studies
11:05 AM
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Online Detection of Outliers and Structural Breaks
Giovanni Petris, University of Arkansas
11:20 AM
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Maximum Entropy Spectral Analysis to Time Series with Missing Value
Aladdin Shamilov, Anadolu University; Cigdem Giriftinoglu, Anadolu University
11:20 AM
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Time Series Modeling of Official Statistics with Two-Stage Benchmarking
Richard Tiller, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Danny Pfeffermann , Hebrew University
11:50 AM
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Hierarchical Bayes Models for Daily Rainfall at Multiple Sites
Kenneth Shirley, AT&T Labs
11:50 AM
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Bayesian Mixtures of Autoregressive Models
Ori Rosn, The University of Texas at El Paso; Sally Wood, Melbourne Business School; Robert Kohn, University of New South Wales
12:05 PM
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Disease Surveillance with Multiple Endpoints
Yingqi Zhao, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Donglin Zeng, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Amy H. Herring, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; David Richardson, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
12:05 PM
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Fixed-Bandwidth Asymptotics for the Studentized Mean for Long and Negative Memory Time Series
Tucker Sprague McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau
2:05 PM
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Creating a 100-Year Time Series of Tax Data with Consistent Income Ranges from Existing Historical Tabulations and Current Microdata - Part 1: Why and How
Victoria Bryant, IRS; Yan K. Liu, IRS; Fritz Scheuren, NORC; Katie Thamert, IRS
2:25 PM
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Bispectral-Based Methods for Clustering Nonlinear Time Series
Jane L. Harvill, Baylor University; Nalini Ravishanker, University of Connecticut; Bonnie Kathryn Ray, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center
3:25 PM
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Thursday, 08/05/2010
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Time Series Data Mining Through Automatic Forecasting and Decomposition
Shu-Ngai Yeung, AT&T Labs; Tom Siu-Tong Au, AT&T Labs; Guang Qin Ma, AT&T Labs; William Pepe, AT&T Labs
8:35 AM
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Classification of Long Memory Processes: A Simulation Study
Ritaja Sur, University of Maryland; Benjamin Kedem, University of Maryland
9:20 AM
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Quantitative Horizon Scanning in Coauthorship Networks
David J. Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center; Carey E. Priebe, The Johns Hopkins University
9:35 AM
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Anomaly Detection Using Fusion of Graph Invariants on a Time Series of Graphs
Youngser Park, The Johns Hopkins University; Carey E. Priebe, The Johns Hopkins University; Abdou Youssef, The George Washington University
9:50 AM
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Estimating Parameters for Rice-Distributed Time Series Observations with Applications to fMRI
Daniel W. Adrian, Iowa State University; Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State University; Daniel B. Rowe, Marquette University
11:15 AM
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Kernel Estimation of Time Series: An Asymptotic Theory
Weibiao Wu, The University of Chicago; Yinxiao Huang, The University of Chicago; Yibi Huang, The University of Chicago
11:55 AM
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